Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.337357 1.517681 1.714471 1.945358 2.209073 2.501173 2.849640
2026-01-18 1.051636 1.294300 1.582303 1.950142 2.408686 2.963054 3.686543
2026-01-25 0.877052 1.141136 1.473169 1.922917 2.518814 3.284874 4.350195
2026-02-01 0.748482 1.018403 1.373936 1.879030 2.582350 3.533152 4.926423
2026-02-08 0.651515 0.921076 1.290591 1.837569 2.632672 3.755580 5.478002
2026-02-15 0.591669 0.865775 1.255270 1.853654 2.758101 4.087317 6.213279
2026-02-22 0.535855 0.808792 1.209403 1.845920 2.842710 4.361754 6.886094
2026-03-01 0.484742 0.752650 1.157710 1.821468 2.895372 4.587660 7.501384
2026-03-08 0.431382 0.687265 1.084731 1.754669 2.871436 4.686240 7.914710
2026-03-15 0.397977 0.649928 1.051589 1.747272 2.940968 4.939545 8.609868
2026-03-22 0.385446 0.645049 1.069688 1.825305 3.159669 5.461271 9.824841
2026-03-29 0.359416 0.615006 1.042981 1.823536 3.238681 5.747164 10.644301
2026-04-05 0.340247 0.597811 1.041285 1.874279 3.432843 6.287621 12.060997
2026-04-12 0.314641 0.567364 1.014596 1.879400 3.548689 6.707305 13.323472
2026-04-19 0.287685 0.531441 0.973965 1.853203 3.600621 7.009607 14.390581
2026-04-26 0.261813 0.494759 0.927952 1.810982 3.615095 7.238160 15.333836
2026-05-03 0.239194 0.461919 0.885730 1.771093 3.628590 7.464353 16.300125
2026-05-10 0.225373 0.444762 0.871935 1.786569 3.757354 7.943120 17.886519
2026-05-17 0.210404 0.423803 0.848447 1.779128 3.835954 8.322995 19.300045
2026-05-24 0.195259 0.401009 0.818974 1.755603 3.876238 8.622483 20.565727
2026-05-31 0.177724 0.371599 0.773034 1.691333 3.817669 8.691414 21.282414
2026-06-07 0.166954 0.355549 0.753776 1.684216 3.889052 9.068516 22.818574
2026-06-14 0.163942 0.355987 0.769998 1.759294 4.161979 9.956144 25.792423